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Winning.

TPM Election Central:

Poll: Obama Leads McCain, Dominates In Key Demographics
By Eric Kleefeld - June 11, 2008, 6:52PM

Barack Obama leads John McCain 47%-41% in the latest NBC/Wall St. Journal poll, just outside the the ア3.1% margin of error and consistent with other polls giving Obama a post-primary bump.

More importantly, Obama is ahead with key demographics where his electability had previously been questioned. Obama leads among women 52%-33%, with Catholics 47%-40%, among independents 41%-36%, and even 47%-42% with blue-collar workers.

And contrary to the idea that his poor primary performances among Hispanics reflected an electability problem, he now leads 62%-28% with that group -- well ahead of John Kerry's 53%-44% advantage in 2004.

John McCain's big advantage is with white men, where he leads 55%-35% -- the only reason the race is as close as it is, according to the pollster's analysis.

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